利用人工神经网络预测阿尔及利亚市场天然气年消费量

O. Laib, M. T. Khadir, Lakhdar Chouireb
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文的重点是开发神经网络方法来预测阿尔及利亚三个压力部门(低压,中压和高压部门)的年天然气消费量。四个主要分销区域构成了阿尔及利亚分销公司(SONALGAZ)。在每个分布区域的旁边由几个分布分区(DD)组成。因此,在本文中,不是创建一个具有一个数据集的单一神经网络模型来估计一个部门的消费,而是通过选择最具影响力的输入来单独考虑每个DD,然后开发其特定的多层感知器(MLP)模型,并使用Levenberg-Marquardt学习算法进行训练,最后将它们的结果相加以获得该部门的总消费。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecasting yearly natural gas consumption using Artificial Neural Network for the Algerian market
the focus of this paper is put on developing Neural Networks approach to predict annual natural gas consumption in Algeria for the three pressure sectors (low pressure, medium pressure and high-pressure sector). Four main distribution areas constitutes the Algerian distribution company (SONALGAZ). Beside each distribution area consists of several distribution divisions (DD). Thus in this paper instead of creating a single neural network model with one dataset to estimate a sector consumption, each DD is considered on its own by selecting the most influential inputs, then developing its specific Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP) model trained with Levenberg-Marquardt learning algorithm, and finally summing their results to get the total consumption for the sectors.
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