电力部门综合能源规划和发展中需求侧管理的机会:以津巴布韦为例

I. Dube, M. Beta, S. Dihwa
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引用次数: 6

摘要

传统上,电力系统的发展在很大程度上是由预测需求与发电供应能力相匹配的驱动所主导的。这通常采取增加发电能力的形式,以满足预测的需求。鉴于南部非洲区域目前预计的电力短缺,到2007年,DSM将成为缓解这种潜在情况的直接战略。该区域的DSM倡议有许多机会,如果充分利用,将在一些国家创造有用的虚拟发电能力,可以使预测的短缺最小化,并对减少全球变暖影响作出积极贡献。为了适应日益增长的环境问题,电力部门越来越倾向于从电力系统规划和经济的垂直方法转向综合资源规划方法。在这一努力中,目标是以最小化总体社会成本的方式匹配对电力服务的需求。电力系统规划人员需要检查客户电表两侧可用投资选项的完整组合。需求侧管理(DSM)方案在未来电力系统规划中具有重要的意义。本文强调了DSM作为现代能源规划方法的一种选择的机会。本文将介绍在津巴布韦以前的研究中获得的可以从DSM倡议中实现的潜在节能。报告亦会重点介绍现时为把用电需求纳入整个规划过程而采取的措施、遇到的问题,以及对未来路向的建议。如果充分利用,用电需求管理方案可以审慎地协助目前正在采取的努力,以减少由传统发电来源产生的全球变暖效应
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Opportunities for demand side management (DSM) in integrated energy resource planning and development in the power sector: the case of Zimbabwe
Traditionally the development of power systems has largely been dominated by the drive towards matching forecasted demand with generation supply capacity. This often takes the form of increasing generation capacity in order to meet forecasted demand. With the current envisaged electrical energy shortfall in the Southern African Region, by 2007, DSM presents itself as an immediate strategy to alleviate this potential situation. There are a number of opportunities for DSM initiatives in the region, which if fully exploited, will create useful virtual generation capacities in a number of countries that can enable minimization of the forecasted shortfall, and also contribute positively to reduction in global warming effects. In order to accommodate the ever-growing environmental concerns,, there is a growing drive in the power sector to move away from the vertical approach to power systems planning and economics and move towards integrated resource planning approaches. In this endeavor, the objective is to match demand for electrical energy services in a way that minimizes the overall social costs. The power system planner needs to examine the full portfolio of available investment options on both sides of the customer meter. Demand side management (DSM) options present themselves as noble options in the planning of future power systems. This paper highlights the opportunities for DSM as an option in modern energy resource planning approaches. The paper will present the potential energy savings that could be realized from DSM initiatives as obtained in previous studies in Zimbabwe. It will also highlight the initiatives currently being taken to incorporate DSM in the whole planning process, the problems being encountered and recommendations on the way forward. If fully exploited, DSM options can prudently assist in efforts currently being taken to reduce global warming effects emanating from conventional electricity generating sources
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