非洲经济增长趋同:中非贸易的故事

S. Adams, P. K. Adom, Isaac Kofi Mensah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了中非贸易关系背景下的非洲经济增长趋同。该分析框架基于1992年至2017年期间49个非洲国家的广义估计方程(GEE)和Driscoll-Kraay(1998)估计量。数据分析表明,单位根不存在横截面依赖,但存在协整的证据,这表明中非贸易关系与人口特征、教育和技术投资的长期关系可以作为解释非洲经济增长的长期强迫变量。此外,中非贸易关系、教育投资和技术创新等因素驱动的有条件增长趋同现象明显。中国与非洲的贸易关系对非洲向高收入国家靠拢的潜力具有重要意义,这表明有必要改善中国与非洲之间的贸易政策安排
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Africa’s Economic Growth Convergence: The Story of the China-Africa Trade
This study explored Africa’s economic growth convergence under the auspices of the China-Africa Trade relationship. The analytical framework was based on the on generalized estimating equations (GEE) and the Driscoll-Kraay (1998) estimator for 49 African countries over the period 1992 to 2017. The data analysis indicates that no evidence of unit root with cross-sectional dependence, but there was evidence of cointegration, which suggests that in the long-run the China-Africa trade relations in conjunction with population characteristics and investment in education and technology can be treated as the long-run forcing variables explaining economic growth in Africa. In addition, there is strong evidence of conditional growth convergence driven by factors such as the China-Africa trade relations, investment in education and technological innovation. The significance of the China-Trade relations on Africa’s potential to converge to higher-income state suggest the need to improve upon the trade policy arrangements between China and
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