拆分主权破产的时机已经到来

Odette Lienau
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摘要

2019冠状病毒病大流行造成的持续经济危机为解决各国中短期财政困境提出了重要建议。然而,它也更加明显地显示出全球金融架构中存在的巨大差距,并突出了关键行为体在危机情况下最密切关注这一基础设施的程度。当然,到那时已经太晚了。本文认为,国际社会应该利用当前背景下产生的能量,走向“分解主权破产”——这可以理解为一个框架,通过该框架,不同层次的多个过程同时支持或实例化一套共同的主权债务解决原则和承诺。这种做法超越了市场选择与法定选择的过于简单化和二元框架,而是认为在合同领域、多边领域和国内立法层面的改进是互补的,而不是竞争的。本文还阐明,明确接受一个更分解的框架来实施债务解决原则,不需要杂乱无章。报告主张建立一个专门的国际机构,以建议、协调和促进跨多个方面处理主权债务的架构取得稳步、渐进的进展。倡导更理性的债务重组的人现在应该采取措施,采用一种基础设施,使未来的债务危机不那么严重,甚至不太可能发生——即使聚光灯转向别处。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Time Has Come for Disaggregated Sovereign Bankruptcy
The ongoing economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has generated important proposals for addressing countries’ financial distress in the short to medium term. However, it has also made even more apparent the existing gaps in the global financial architecture writ large and highlighted the extent to which key actors pay closest attention to this infrastructure in situations of crisis. By then, of course, it is already too late.

This essay argues that the international community should use the energy generated in the current context to move toward ‘disaggregated sovereign bankruptcy’—which can be understood as a framework by which multiple processes at varying levels simultaneously support or instantiate a shared set of sovereign debt resolution principles and commitments. Such an approach moves beyond overly simplistic and binary framings of market-based versus statutory options, and instead conceives of improvements in the contractual realm, in the multilateral arena, and at the level of domestic legislation as complementary rather than competitive. The essay also clarifies that the explicit embrace of a more disaggregated framework for implementing debt resolution principles need not be disorganized. It argues in favor of establishing an international body purpose-built to recommend, coordinate, and facilitate steady, incremental progress in the architecture for dealing with sovereign debt across multiple vectors. Advocates of more rational debt restructuring should take steps now to adopt an infrastructure that would make future debt crises less severe and perhaps less likely—even when the spotlights are directed elsewhere.
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