资助欧洲团结

E. Nowotny, Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald, H. Schuberth
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2018年至少有两个重要的纪念日值得一提。首先,100年前,哈布斯堡帝国的几个继承国在中欧、东欧和东南欧(CESEE)地区建立,其中包括奥地利第一共和国。当时很少有人相信这个新的小国能够生存下去。因此,需要再次重启才能认识到,小型开放经济体可以为其公民提供高质量的生活和社会保障。与两次世界大战之间的时期不同,奥地利第二共和国的发展融入了国际合作和欧洲经济一体化的进程,最终成为欧洲联盟(欧盟)的成员。事实证明,将民主整合到更大的范围内是更可持续、更有前途的政治和经济概念。其次,十年前,雷曼兄弟(Lehman Brothers)倒闭,全球金融体系濒临崩溃。今天,我们可以真正地说,为防止最坏的情况发生而进行的所有努力最终都取得了成功。最初,全球范围内协调一致的货币和财政扩张有助于避免上世纪30年代大萧条(Great Depression)期间的那种经济崩溃。后来,改革微观和宏观审慎监管框架有助于修复金融体系。由于建立了规模大得多的资本和流动性缓冲,银行目前已显著降低了资产负债表上的风险。在欧洲,新的紧急基金、中央银行监督和处置以及处理财政和宏观经济失衡的更严格程序解决了经济和货币联盟的重大弱点。然而,我们没有理由自满。高企的全球债务、严重的全球失衡、危机后增长路径走弱、货币政策尚未正常化以及欧洲货币联盟仍未完善,这些都是必须解决的挑战。更不用说英国脱欧、最近的贸易紧张局势和民粹主义所带来的政治风险,这些风险危及欧洲一体化和在紧急全球事务上的多边合作。因此,未来还有许多挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Funding European solidarity
The year 2018 marked at least two important anniversaries worth mentioning. First, 100 years ago, several successor states of the Habsburg empire were established in the Central, Eastern and Southeastern European (CESEE) region, including the First Republic of Austria. Too few people believed then that the new small state would be able to survive. Consequently, it took another reboot to learn that small open economies can provide a high quality of life and social security for their citizens. Unlike the interwar period, the development of the Second Republic of Austria was embedded in a process of international cooperation and European economic integration, which culminated in European Union (EU) membership. Democratic integration into something bigger turned out to be the more sustainable and more promising political and economic concept. Second, ten years ago, Lehman Brothers collapsed, and the global financial system was on the brink of falling apart. Today, we can truly say that all the efforts undertaken to prevent the worst from happening have succeeded in the end. Initially, coordinated monetary and fiscal expansion on a global scale was instrumental in avoiding an economic meltdown of the kind experienced during the Great Depression in the 1930s. Later, reforming the microand macroprudential regulatory frameworks helped to fix the financial system. Having established much larger capital and liquidity buffers as a result, banks have now significantly reduced the risks on their balance sheets. In Europe, new emergency funds, centralized banking supervision and resolution as well as more stringent procedures to deal with fiscal and macroeconomic imbalances addressed critical weaknesses of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). Yet, there is no reason for complacency. High global debt, large global imbalances, a weaker postcrisis growth path, pending monetary policy normalization and remaining EMU imperfections pose challenges that will have to be tackled. To say nothing of the political risks exemplified by Brexit, recent trade tensions and populism that jeopardize the European project and multilateral cooperation in urgent global matters. Hence, there are many challenges ahead.
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