基于Agent的风险逆境水平估计交易博弈

P. Pandey, Sambatur Hemant, D. V. Khanh
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引用次数: 1

摘要

金融市场中基于异质投资者群体行为和风险偏好的投资组合优化很难准确建模和预测。本文首先尝试模拟一个基于多智能体的股票市场;其中不同类型的代理被建模使用不同的策略来交易股票。通过使用合适的模糊逻辑模型,用户交易活动的观察结果反过来用于评估风险逆境水平(RAL)。从模糊模型得到的RAL评分作为输入,使用遗传算法进行投资组合优化。进一步分析和评价了不同风险逆境水平下的最优投资组合绩效
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Agent Based Trading Game for Risk Adversity Level Estimation
Portfolio optimization based on the behavior and risk appetite of the heterogeneous investor community in financial markets has been very difficult to model and predict accurately. In this paper, firstly we attempt to simulate a multi-agent based stock market; where different types of agents are modeled to trade stocks using various strategies. The observations from trading activity of the user are in turn used to assess the risk adversity level (RAL) by using a suitable fuzzy logic model. RAL score from the fuzzy model serves as input to perform portfolio optimization using Genetic algorithm. We further analyze and evaluate the optimum portfolio performance for different risk adversity level
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