经济状况会影响气候变化信念和对气候行动的支持吗?美国经济大衰退后的证据

Andrew G. Meyer
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引用次数: 3

摘要

我表明,对气候变化的怀疑随着负面经济冲击的增加而增加,这种影响主要集中在劳动力中的个人身上。我主要是在大衰退(Great Recession)之后的一段时间里雇佣了一组美国人,但也发现了另一种工具变量策略的一致结果。在劳动力参与者中,当地失业率每上升1个百分点,相信气候变化是真实存在的并需要采取行动的可能性就会下降3到5个百分点。我的结论是,对气候变化政策的支持可能取决于劳动力市场状况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do Economic Conditions Affect Climate Change Beliefs and Support for Climate Action? Evidence from the U.S. in the Wake of the Great Recession
I show that climate skepticism increases with negative economic shocks and that effects are concentrated among individuals in the labor force. I primarily employ a panel of US individuals in the period following the Great Recession, but also find consistent results with an alternative instrumental variables strategy. Among labor force participants, a one percentage point increase in the local unemployment rate leads to a 3 to 5 percentage point decrease in the probability of believing climate change is real and requires action. I conclude that support for climate change policies could depend on labor market conditions.
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