俄罗斯对拉丁美洲市场出口的结构和动态

I. Chuvychkina
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与传统的销售市场相比,拉丁美洲地区在俄罗斯出口的整体结构中所占的份额较小。尽管如此,该区域最近作为外贸业务在地理上重新定位的地方日益受到关注。尽管冠状病毒危机对与拉丁美洲的外贸关系的发展产生了重大影响,但在大流行前,对该区域的出口兴趣表现为交货量的增加、俄罗斯贸易余额的顺差和对手国数量的增加。这篇文章致力于对俄罗斯与拉丁美洲和加勒比地区的对外贸易关系进行定量分析。分析的经验材料是一个数据库,其中包括2000-2020年俄罗斯和拉丁美洲商品的进出口数据,以及这些商品的进出口国家。该数据集包含交货国家、产品代码、成本、行业部门等信息。在此基础上,对俄罗斯在该地区出口的质量结构进行了回顾,考虑到原材料、非资源能源和非资源非能源供应的区分,并将其划分为低、中、高附加值产品三个阶段。这种方法有助于从经济复杂性的角度评估俄罗斯出口的多样化。本文还介绍了拉丁美洲国家的进口结构,从而有可能确定俄罗斯出口的可能利基。最后,提出了扩大俄罗斯对该区域供应的前景,并确定了俄罗斯在增加其在拉丁美洲进口市场的份额方面可能面临的挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
STRUCTURE AND DYNAMICS OF RUSSIAN EXPORTS TO THE LATIN AMERICAN MARKETS
The Latin American region occupies a less significant share in the overall structure of Russian exports compared to traditional sales markets. Nevertheless, the region has recently been increasingly in the spotlight as a place for the geographical reorientation of foreign trade operations. Even though the corona crisis had a significant impact on the development of foreign trade relations with Latin America, export interest to the region was expressed in the pre-pandemic period through an increased volume of deliveries, a surplus in Russia’s trade balance and an increase in the number of counterparty countries. The article is devoted to the quantitative analysis of Russia’s foreign trade relations with the Latin America and the Caribbean. The empirical material for the analysis was a database that includes data on the export and import of Russian and Latin American goods in 2000-2020, as well as the countries to which these goods are exported or imported. The dataset contains information about the country of delivery, product code, cost, industry sector. Based on this database, a review of the qualitative structure of Russian exports in the region was carried out, considering the differentiation into raw materials, non-resource energy and non-resource non-energy supplies in the context of dividing into three stages: low, middle, and high value-added products. This approach contributed to the assessment of the diversification of Russian exports in terms of economic complexity. The article also gives an idea of the import structure of Latin American countries, which makes it possible to identify possible niches for Russian exports. In conclusion, the prospects for expanding Russian supplies to the region are presented and the challenges are identified that Russia may face in increasing its share of Latin American import markets.
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