新型冠状病毒基本繁殖强度的计算模拟

R. Kandasamy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基本繁殖数(R0)是传染病和寄生虫的传染性或传播性的一个指标。在covid-19流行病开始时,有一段时间被认为是易感、暴露或感染的持续时间,在这段时间内,感染者可以将病毒传播给所有其他人。我们增强了这一时期的数学模型,并观察了中国covid-19污染的版本。我们考察了版本内的流行病学常数,如过境收费和简单生殖品种,启动病例统计的使用情况。因此,我们估计了covid-19感染症状内的倾斜、暴露或潜伏期的行为。通过这个临界版本,巨大的范围R0,已经被用来计算现在感染了传染性人类的人的范围,并将易发,暴露和感染人群的强度分类,因为传染性已经结束,它可以立即用于对污染地区进行分级。主要基于R0的次幂,通过Runge Kutta Felhberg方法计算了倾斜、未覆盖和感染的人的价格,maple 18。通过这项调查,易感人群的covid-19感染率大幅增加,因为感染人群的价格随着基本生殖广泛品种的繁荣而上下波动,未感染人群的价格下降。covid-19感染的传播性与常规人类呼吸信息缺乏和全球变暖有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Computational Simulation of Basic Reproductive Strength on Covid 19
The basic reproduction number (R0), is presented to be an indicator of the contagiousness or transmissibility of infectious and parasitic agents. On the inception of a covid-19 epidemic, there’s a period admitted as the the susceptible, exposed or infected duration, earlier than an affected person can spread the virus to every other person. We enhance mathematical fashions to file for this period and observe version to the covid-19 contamination in china. We take a look at the epidemiological constants within the version, such as the transmigration charge and the simple reproductive variety, the usage of statistics of launched cases. We therefore estimate the act of the inclined, exposed or latency length inside the symptoms of a covid-19 infection. Through this critical version giant range R0, has been used to count on the sphere of persons right now infected with the contagious human and categorized the intensity of prone, exposed, and infected populations as quickly because the infectious is over, it can be immediately used to degree the contaminated regions. Primarily based at the power of R0, inclined, uncovered, and infected human being’s price has been calculated through Runge Kutta Felhberg method, maple 18. By using this investigation, the susceptible human’s infectious rates from covid-19 are strongly multiplied because the infected human being’s price moves up and down and the uncovered humans price decelerates with the boom of the basic reproductive wide variety. The transmissibility of covid-19 infection is related to the respiration lack of information of conventional humans and global warming.
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