利用人工神经网络预测平均气温的新方法(应用于班加西市天气)

Saleh Awami, Youssef Shakmak, Rabeh A. Mohammed
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引用次数: 0

摘要

天气预报作为一个动态系统,在农业产业中对人类的生活发展起着重要的空间作用。为了给天气预报提供更好的估计结果,研究者们研究和提出了许多技术,其中一些技术使用了传统的统计方法,另一些技术使用了改进的技术,如使用人工神经网络(ANN)方法和软计算,本文进行了研究。所有这些技术都使用相同的气象站位置来获得预测结果。本文利用不同地理位置的周边相邻气象站的历史数据,而不是气象站当前位置(目标站)对日气温进行预测,并利用径向基函数(RBF)和人工神经网络(ANN)模型方法对目标气象站的缺失数据进行预测。该研究已应用于利比亚和希腊国家不同地理位置的五个气象站的模拟。最后,主站气象数据的生成、预报和缺失数据的查找结果总体上是优秀的,并通过Matlab编程语言验证了本工作的思想。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Novel Approach for Forecasting Average Temperature Using Artificial Neural Networks (Applied to Benghazi City's Weather)
Weather forecasting, a dynamic system, is play an important role for humans' life development spatially in agriculture industries. There are so many techniques were investigated and presented by researchers to give a better estimated results for weather forecasting, some of these techniques were used a traditional techniques that used statistical methods and others were used the improved techniques as using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) approach and soft computing as has been investigated in this paper. All of these techniques have used the same weather-measured stations location to obtain the predicted results. In this work, the one-day period temperature is forecasted from historical data that collected from surrounding neighboring weather-measured stations at different geographical locations instead of the current location (target station) of the weather-measured station, as well as the missed data at the target weather-measured station were obtained using the Radial Basis Function (RBF) and ANN model approach. This research has applied to simulate the five measured-weather stations at different geographical locations in Libya and Greece country. Finally, results of generating, forecasting and finding of missing data in the main weather-measured station were excellent in general and the idea behind of this work has been approved using Matlab programming language.
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