印度寻求将外科手术式打击作为对付核巴基斯坦的新常态:自欺欺人还是新现实?

Muhammad Saeed Uzzaman, Azhar Waqar, Muhammad Amin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究的目的是了解印度最近对巴基斯坦的进攻方式背后的理由。随着新技术的出现,冲突转变为主要战争转变为次要战争和次常规战争。尽管如此,印度还是推出了一套新的作战战略,以确立自己在南亚地区的主要军事大国地位。该研究得出的结论是,根据其雄心勃勃的计划,印度于2019年2月在巴基斯坦领土深处进行了外科手术式打击,并试图建立一种新的战略接触模式,在这种模式下,对拥有核能力的巴基斯坦的主权侵犯将成为印巴冲突关系的“新常态”。有趣的是,印度从美国和以色列那里得到灵感,不仅试图引入“新常态”来改变南亚的主权规范,而且还危险地走在他们前面,否定了“核威慑”的整个逻辑,而没有考虑到包括美国在内的任何人都没有试图在实际核威慑的情况下创造“新常态”。最后也是重要的一点是,要么接受核威慑逻辑是“正常”的,要么拒绝或否定它是“不正常”的。巴基斯坦恰当的回应表明,在核威胁下没有建立“新常态”的空间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
India's Quest to Establish Surgical Strikes as a New-Normal against Nuclear Pakistan: A Self- Deception or New-Reality?
This study aims to understand the rationale behind India's recent offensive approach against Pakistan. With the advent of new technologies, the conflict transformed were major wars converted minor war and sub-conventional warfare. Nevertheless, India introduced a new set of war fighting strategies to establish itself as a major military power in the South Asian region. The study concluded that,in line with its ambitious plans, India conducted a surgical strike deep inside Pakistan's territory in February2019 and tried to establish a new pattern of strategic engagement where sovereignty breach of nuclear-capable Pakistan will be a 'New-Normal' in India-Pakistan conflictual relations. Interestingly, India taking inspiration from the US and Israel, not only tried to introduce 'New-Normal' in order to alter the norms of sovereignty in South Asia but also went dangerously ahead of them and negated the entire logic of 'nuclear-deterrence' without considering the fact that no one including the US has ever tried to create 'New-Normal'in the situation of actual nuclear deterrence. Lastly and importantly, it is either 'Normal' to accept the logic of nuclear deterrence or 'Abnormal' to reject or negate it. Pakistan's befitting response made it clear that there is no space for the establishment of 'New-Normal' under a nuclear overhang.
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