技术冲击:对国际经济周期的新影响

Andrea Raffo
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引用次数: 17

摘要

了解国际价格和数量的共同动态仍然是国际商业周期中的一个中心问题。当国内消费和产出增长超过国外时,国际相对价格就会上涨。此外,贸易流量和贸易价格都显示出相当大的波动性。本文将希克斯中性技术冲击和投资特异性技术冲击纳入产能利用率可变、财富对劳动力供给弱效应的标准两国一般均衡模型。投资特有的技术冲击引入了吸收波动的来源,类似于口味冲击,从而使理论和数据相一致。本文还提出了技术冲击在国家间的传导机制以及Barro和King(1984)对投资冲击的批评的含义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Technology Shocks: Novel Implications for International Business Cycles
Understanding the joint dynamics of international prices and quantities remains a central issue in international business cycles. International relative prices appreciate when domestic consumption and output increase more than their foreign counterparts. In addition, both trade flows and trade prices display sizable volatility. This paper incorporates Hicks-neutral and investment-specific technology shocks into a standard two-country general equilibrium model with variable capacity utilization and weak wealth effects on labor supply. Investment-specific technology shocks introduce a source of fluctuations in absorption similar to taste shocks, thus reconciling theory and data. The paper also presents implications for the transmission mechanism of technology shocks across countries and for the Barro and King (1984) critique of investment shocks.
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