紧缩的成本:2010年后欧洲财政整顿的效果

Nelson Rayl
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摘要

本文研究了2008年金融危机和欧债危机后财政整顿对人均GDP的影响。我使用综合控制方法来评估三个实行大量财政整顿的欧洲国家的GDP表现:希腊、西班牙和意大利。我估计,如果没有财政整顿,每个国家的人均GDP将分别高出30%、11%和17%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cost of Austerity: Effect of Fiscal Consolidation in Europe Post 2010
This paper investigates the effect of fiscal consolidation on GDP per capita following the 2008 Financial Crisis and European Debt Crisis. I use the synthetic control method to assess the GDP performance of three European countries that pursued large quantities of fiscal consolidation: Greece, Spain and Italy. I estimate that without fiscal consolidation GDP per capita would have been 30, 11, and 17 percent higher in each country respectively.
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