敏感性和迭代计算对成本定价的影响

K. Casier, S. Verbrugge, J. V. Ooteghem, D. Colle, R. Meersman, M. Pickavet, P. Demeester
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引用次数: 8

摘要

在推出一项新的电信服务时,对运营商来说,正确设定资费是非常重要的。过于谨慎地设定过高的费率很可能会使运营商失去竞争优势。另一方面,设定过低的资费可能会攫取利润,导致其他服务自相残杀,迫使运营商提高资费——这显然对用户满意度和相应的市场份额产生负面影响。目前的电信网络正在逐步采用全IP网络,在这种网络中,所有业务都在同一基础设施上运行。虽然由于规模经济和范围经济,这一举措可以降低成本,但它掩盖了网络总成本中每种不同服务的成本。由于关税预计在长期内是可持续的,与推出新服务相关的成本至少应该由(预测的)收入覆盖。可以使用不同的分配方案来发现与网络上每项服务相关的成本,使用这些方案可以更好地了解可持续关税的边际,而不是单独计算或收支平衡。整个计算在很大程度上取决于对采用、带宽增长和成本演变的预测。在本文中,我们将首先研究计算的关税差额对这些投入变化的敏感性。在第二阶段,我们将调查计算的关税差额可能对服务的采用产生的影响。我们还指出,在量化这种影响并使用迭代计算时,这些边际存在重要变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of sensitivity and iterative calculations on cost-based pricing
When introducing a new telecom service it is very important for the operator to set the tariff right. Being too prudent by setting the tariff too high will most probably put the operator out of competition. On the other hand, setting the tariff too low might skim profits, lead to cannibalization of other services, forcing the operator to raise the tariffs - which clearly has a negative impact on the user satisfaction and coupled market share. Current telecom networks make progressively use of an all IP network, in which all services run over the same infrastructure. While this move allows reducing costs due to economies of scale and scope, it disguises the costs of each of the different services within the full costs of the network. As the tariff is expected to be sustainable in the long run, the costs associated to the roll-out of the new service should at least be covered by the (forecasted) revenues. Different allocation schemes can be used for discovering the costs associated to each of the services over the network, and their use leads to a better understanding of the margins on sustainable tariffs as opposed to stand alone or break even calculations. The whole calculation is largely dependent on the forecasts of adoption, bandwidth growth and cost evolution. Within this paper we will first investigate the sensitivity of the calculated tariff margins on changes of these inputs. In a second phase we will investigate what impact the calculated tariff margin might have on the adoption of the service. We also indicate that there are important changes to these margins when quantifying this impact and using iterative calculations.
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