多日指数收益尾部分布的实证研究

T. Roos
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们研究了各种资产类别的多日指数回报的尾部分布。将幂律拟合到尾部分布,我们发现所有基础的尾部指数在[2-4]范围内,最长可达250天。我们还发现幂律不能在统计上排除,而支持指数衰减的尾部分布。简要讨论了风险管理的后果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Empirical Study of Tail Distributions of Multi-Day Index Returns
We study the tail distributions of multi-day index returns across a variety of asset classes. Fitting power laws to the tail distributions, we find tail indices in the range [2-4] for all underlyings, for returns up to 250 days. We also find that the power laws can not be statistically ruled out in favor of an exponentially decaying tail distribution. Consequences for risk management are briefly discussed.
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