{"title":"基于德尔菲法、层次分析法、灰色理论和模糊评价法综合模型的港口设施安全风险评价方法研究","authors":"Xin Lu, Hong-tao Fan","doi":"10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232095","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"To vary and improve risk assessment method of port facility security, a new risk assessment approach based on a comprehensive model (DHGF model) is developed, which integrates the Delphi method, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), grey theory and fuzzy evaluation method. A comprehensive evaluation to the target port facility on security is obtained from qualitative analysis to quantitative analysis by the establishment of a complex risk assessment index system on security environment, security management and emergency management. To testify the feasibility and effectiveness of DHGF model, a practical example is given. The result shows that the application of DHGF model in port facility security assessment makes the conclusion more objective and credible.","PeriodicalId":389628,"journal":{"name":"2015 International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS)","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2015-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Study on the risk assessment approach of port facility security based on a comprehensive model of Delphi method, analytic hierarchy process, grey theory and fuzzy evaluation method\",\"authors\":\"Xin Lu, Hong-tao Fan\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232095\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"To vary and improve risk assessment method of port facility security, a new risk assessment approach based on a comprehensive model (DHGF model) is developed, which integrates the Delphi method, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), grey theory and fuzzy evaluation method. A comprehensive evaluation to the target port facility on security is obtained from qualitative analysis to quantitative analysis by the establishment of a complex risk assessment index system on security environment, security management and emergency management. To testify the feasibility and effectiveness of DHGF model, a practical example is given. The result shows that the application of DHGF model in port facility security assessment makes the conclusion more objective and credible.\",\"PeriodicalId\":389628,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2015 International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS)\",\"volume\":\"12 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2015-06-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2015 International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232095\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2015 International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232095","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Study on the risk assessment approach of port facility security based on a comprehensive model of Delphi method, analytic hierarchy process, grey theory and fuzzy evaluation method
To vary and improve risk assessment method of port facility security, a new risk assessment approach based on a comprehensive model (DHGF model) is developed, which integrates the Delphi method, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), grey theory and fuzzy evaluation method. A comprehensive evaluation to the target port facility on security is obtained from qualitative analysis to quantitative analysis by the establishment of a complex risk assessment index system on security environment, security management and emergency management. To testify the feasibility and effectiveness of DHGF model, a practical example is given. The result shows that the application of DHGF model in port facility security assessment makes the conclusion more objective and credible.