日本克服低出生率战略对韩国的启示——以日本冈山县永木町为例

Kwang-Hee Kim
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摘要

目的:韩国是世界上出生率最低的国家。我们需要找到克服低出生率的措施。这是关系到韩国生死存亡的关键问题。在这项研究中,我们希望找到解决韩国低出生率问题的措施。研究设计、数据和方法:本研究旨在详细了解各种生育政策、策略和已推广的特点,重点是克服日本Nagi-cho低出生率的案例。此外,仅通过国内外介绍的内容是无法把握实质的。我们也想讨论一下永町隐藏的真相。我希望这项研究能为解决低出生率问题提供有用的提示。结果:目前,韩国社会面临的不是外部威胁,而是低生育的内部威胁。只是担心并不能改变现状。但是,应该有人客观地判断和预测问题的本质,并向韩国社会发出警报。因此,结论中提出了克服低生育问题的8大对策。一般来说,2022年的总生育率为0.78,是因为夫妻之间没有生育一个以上的孩子。换句话说,目前的出生人数和生育率之所以没有上升,不是因为他们没有生二胎,而是因为他们没有生一个孩子。生第一个孩子的夫妇生第二个孩子的可能性很大,但如果不生第一个孩子,就不可能生第二个和第三个孩子。积极支持生二胎的夫妇是正确的生育政策。含义:我们期望部分优化的总和等于全部优化的总和,这就是我们在含义“最佳答案”中寻找的东西。然而,在一国生育率的宏观层面上,通过局部优化实现总体最优并不容易。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Implications of Japan’s Strategy to Overcome Low Birthrate for Korea: Focusing on Case Studies in Nagi-cho, Okayama Prefecture, Japan
Purpose: Korea has the lowest birth rate in the world. We need to find measures to overcome the low birth rate. This is a key issue that will determine Korea’s survival. In this study, we would like to find measures to solve the low birth rate problem in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology: This study aims to understand in detail the various childbirth policies, strategies, and peculiarities that have been promoted, focusing on the cases of overcoming low birth rates in Nagi-cho, Japan. In addition, the substance cannot be grasped only through the contents introduced at home and abroad. We would also like to discuss the hidden truth of Nagi-cho. Hopefully, I hope that this study will be a useful hint in solving the low birth rate problem. Results: Now, Korean society is suffering from internal threats of low birth rates, not external threats. Just worrying doesn’t change the situation. Nevertheless, someone is responsible for identifying and predicting the nature of the problem from an objective perspective and raising an alarm in Korean society. Accordingly, the conclusion presented eight response strategies to overcome Korea’s low birth rate problem. Typically, the total fertility rate of 0.78 in 2022 is due to the fact that more than one child was not born between couples. In other words, the reason why the current number of births and fertility rates do not rise is not that they do not give birth to a second child, but that caused by not having a single child. Couples who give birth to their first child have a high probability of giving birth to their second child, but it is impossible to give birth to their second and third children unless their first child is born. It is the right childbirth policy to actively support couples who have given birth to a second child. Implications: We expect the sum of the partial optimizations to be equal to the sum of the total optimization, and this is what we are looking for in the implications 'best answer'. However, at the macro level of a country’s fertility rate, it is not easy to achieve the total optimum through partial optimization.
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