财富不平等加剧:代际联系、企业家精神和利率下降

A. Imrohoroglu, K. Zhao
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引用次数: 3

摘要

最富有的1%的美国人所拥有的财富比例从1980年的24%上升到2010年的40%。本文考察了三个因素在解释这一增长中所起的潜在作用——企业税率的下降、收入风险的增加和世界利率的下降。我们的模型由无私的家庭组成,他们要么经营企业,要么为他人工作。由于高生产率,企业家家庭享有高回报,而工人家庭的储蓄获得银行存款利率,这是由竞争激烈的银行业决定的,等于外国债券的回报率。我们发现,企业家精神和通过利他主义产生的代际联系是产生类似2000年代数据的财富分配的重要因素。然而,自上世纪80年代以来,美国财富不平等加剧的主要原因是利率的下降。在我们的模型中,利率的下降增加了财富不平等,因为它对两类家庭的影响不同。企业家家庭受益于较低的融资成本并增加了投资,而工人家庭则因利率下降而面临较低的储蓄回报。其他变化,如税收和收入风险的变化,所起的作用较小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Rising Wealth Inequality: Intergenerational Links, Entrepreneurship, and the Decline in Interest Rate
The share of wealth held by the top one percent of Americans has increased from about 24% in 1980 to 40% in 2010. This paper examines the potential role played by three factors in accounting for this increase – decline in the corporate tax rates, increase in the income risk, and the decline in the world interest rates. Our model consists of altruistic households who either run a business or work for others. Entrepreneurial households enjoy high returns due to high productivity while worker households' savings earn the bank deposit rate that is determined in a competitive banking sector and equals the rate of return on foreign bonds. We find that entrepreneurship and intergenerational links via altruism are important factors generating a wealth distribution that mimics the data in the 2000s. However, it is the decline in the interest rate that plays a major role in accounting for the increase in the U.S. wealth inequality since the 1980s. In our model, the decline in the interest rate increases wealth inequality as it affects the two types of households differently. Entrepreneurial households benefit from lower financing costs and increase their investments while worker households face lower returns to their savings as the interest rate declines. Other changes such as the changes in taxation and income risk play a less significant role.
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