基于模拟系统的配电网极端天气恢复能力评估

Wang Wei, Zhao Jiayue, Y. Xiaoling, Xing Haiqing, G. Chuangxin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

近年来,随着自然灾害的频繁发生,电力系统的恢复力评估对电力系统的安全运行至关重要。本文提出了在台风、雷电、冰害等不同天气条件下配电系统恢复能力的概率评估方法。它是基于蒙特卡罗仿真的。我们的主要贡献是建立了一个复合动态故障率模型来描述不同的灾害特征,并建立了不同故障场景之间的联系。该模型用于实时模拟配电网在极端天气条件下的性能变化。在此基础上,提出了一种评价配电网弹性的综合指标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Resilience Assessment Using Simulation System of Distribution Network under Extreme Weather
Due to increasing frequency of natural disasters in recent years, resilience assessment become critical to the safe operation of the power system. In this paper, we present a probabilistic assessment of power distribution system resilience under different types of weather such as typhoon, thunder and ice damage. It is based on Monte Carlo simulation. The main contribution of us is that we establish a compound dynamic failure rate model to describe different disaster characteristics and establish connections between different failure scenarios. This model is implemented to simulate in real time the performance changes of the distribution network under the extreme weather. Based on it, we propose a composite index for evaluating the resilience of the distribution network.
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