国际金融援助:一种贷款机制设计方法

Alex Mourmouras, W. Mayer
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引用次数: 2

摘要

国际金融机构将向资本匮乏国家转移资源与改善这些国家的经济政策和制度联系起来。这种援助的目标是双重的:增加受援国的资本基础和改善其资源分配。本文对其中一些贷款项目的有限成功提供了政治经济学解释。在我们的模型中,政府在利益集团的影响下选择政策。它们吸收国际金融机构贷款的能力和改革努力都是国际金融机构无法观察到的。设计最佳的贷款机制必须以奖惩形式创造足够的激励,以抵消利益集团对经济政策选择的影响。然而,这种贷款机制在两个方面受到限制:它不能严厉惩罚一个国家,以至于威胁到该国的政治稳定;它必须保持国际金融机构负担得起的水平。每当改革动机不足时,政府就会接受贷款,但在改革的实施上作弊。另一方面,如果机制设计是最优的,那么国际金融机构可能会为此付出巨大代价,以至于根深蒂固的利益集团可能会阻止改革计划。尽管如此,设计合理的贷款机制的可用性将促使政府实施部分改革,即使最优机制对国际金融机构来说成本过高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
International Financial Assistance: A Loan Mechanism-Design Approach
International Financial Institutions (IFIs) tie resource transfers to capital-scarce countries to improvements in their economic policies and institutions. The objective of this assistance is twofold: to augment the recipient's capital base and to improve its allocation of resources. This paper offers a political-economy explanation for the limited success of some of these loan programs. In our model, governments select policies under the influence of interest groups. Their capacity to absorb IFI loans and their reform efforts are both unobservable to the IFI. An optimally designed loan mechanism must create sufficient incentives in the form of rewards and punishments to counter the influence of interest groups on economic policy choices. The loan mechanism is, however, constrained in two ways: it cannot punish a country so severely as to threaten its political stability and it must remain affordable to the IFI. Whenever reform incentives are inadequate, a government will accept the loan but cheat on the implementation of reforms. If, on the other hand, the mechanism design is optimal, it might be so costly to the IFI that a well-entrenched interest group can block the reform program. Nonetheless, the availability of properly designed loan mechanisms will push governments to implement partial reforms even if the optimal mechanism is too costly for the IFI.
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