利用LSTM的多变量时间序列预测确定不同交易所股票价格的最佳激活函数

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摘要

LSTM (Long - Short-Term Memory,长短期记忆)在通过质疑市场状况来预测股价方面已经证明了它的价值。本研究的重点是在有噪声的市场数据背景下应用各种激活函数时LSTM预测的质量。在这项研究中,我们使用了来自不同证券交易所的25种不同的股票,并观察了不同激活函数(如Relu, Elu和TanH)产生的预测。我们的研究将在股票样本的平均损失累积和价格预测的背景下涉及这种准确性。市场条件将隐含相似历元运行的特征,以及相同的训练和测试周期,而不考虑由市场利益建议定义的SE和LSTM特征参数。本研究发现,由双曲正切激活函数衍生的多变量预测方法准确率达到80%,表明该函数是基于LSTM通过多变量方法进行价格预测的最佳方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determining the Best Activation Functions for Predicting Stock Prices in Different (Stock Exchanges) Through Multivariable Time Series Forecasting of LSTM
LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) has proven its worth in terms of predicting Stock prices through questioning market conditions. This research focuses on the quality of LSTM predictions when various activation functions are applied within the context of noisy market data. In this research, we have used 25 different stocks from diverse stock exchanges and observed the predictions created by different activation functions such as Relu, Elu, and TanH. Our research would involve this accuracy within the context of average loss accumulation and price predictions for the stock sample. The market conditions will imply the features of similar epoch runs, and the same training and testing period, which are irrespective of SE and LSTM feature parameters defined by market-benefitting suggestions. This research has found an accuracy of 80% through the multivariable prediction method derived from the Hyperbolic Tangent activation function, suggesting that this function is the best for price prediction based on LSTM through the multivariable method.
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