战略先发制人的实验评价

C. Mason, Owen R. Phillips
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本文报告了一系列两阶段,两人非合作博弈的结果,其中一个玩家可以策略性地抢占另一个玩家。在我们的一个设计中,子博弈完美均衡需要完全抢占;在另一种情况下,它需要部分先发制人。Logit分析表明,当游戏处于最佳状态时,玩家倾向于完全抢占。然而,当部分抢占是最优时,有相当一部分玩家坚持选择非抢占结构。这可能是由于先发制人后偶尔出现的非理性行为,导致一些占主导地位的主体不那么咄咄逼人。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Experimental Evaluation of Strategic Preemption
This paper reports the results of a series of two-stage, two-person non-cooperative games where one player can strategically preempt the other. In one of our designs, the subgame perfect equilibrium entails complete preemption; in the other, it entails partial preemption. Logit analysis indicates that players tend to completely preempt when it is optimal. However, when partial preemption is optimal, a non-trivial fraction of players persist in choosing the non-preemptive structure. This may result because of occasional irrational behavior following preemptive play, which induces some dominant agents to play less aggressively.
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