{"title":"论量化技术风险时考虑不确定性的必要性","authors":"E. Kolesnikov","doi":"10.32686/1812-5220-2022-19-5-80-89","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":" Quantitative assessment of technogenic risk is traditionally carried out in point setting. Meanwhile, in the experimental part of the natural and technical sciences, it has long been customary to take into account the presence of uncertainty and quantify it. It is time to take into account the presence of uncertainty and quantify it in mathematical modeling, in particular, when performing a quantitative assessment of technogenic risk. Th e article contains a draft regulation on the analysis and quantitative assessment of the uncertainty of the estimated indicators of technogenic risk.","PeriodicalId":391677,"journal":{"name":"Issues of Risk Analysis","volume":"107 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"On the Need to Account for Uncertainty in Quantifi cation Technogenic Risk\",\"authors\":\"E. Kolesnikov\",\"doi\":\"10.32686/1812-5220-2022-19-5-80-89\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\" Quantitative assessment of technogenic risk is traditionally carried out in point setting. Meanwhile, in the experimental part of the natural and technical sciences, it has long been customary to take into account the presence of uncertainty and quantify it. It is time to take into account the presence of uncertainty and quantify it in mathematical modeling, in particular, when performing a quantitative assessment of technogenic risk. Th e article contains a draft regulation on the analysis and quantitative assessment of the uncertainty of the estimated indicators of technogenic risk.\",\"PeriodicalId\":391677,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Issues of Risk Analysis\",\"volume\":\"107 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-10-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Issues of Risk Analysis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2022-19-5-80-89\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Issues of Risk Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2022-19-5-80-89","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
On the Need to Account for Uncertainty in Quantifi cation Technogenic Risk
Quantitative assessment of technogenic risk is traditionally carried out in point setting. Meanwhile, in the experimental part of the natural and technical sciences, it has long been customary to take into account the presence of uncertainty and quantify it. It is time to take into account the presence of uncertainty and quantify it in mathematical modeling, in particular, when performing a quantitative assessment of technogenic risk. Th e article contains a draft regulation on the analysis and quantitative assessment of the uncertainty of the estimated indicators of technogenic risk.