中小企业信贷策略设计

Liyi Wang
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摘要

中小企业在促进社会经济增长中发挥着重要作用,是中国国民经济发展的重要基础。本文从银行利益的角度出发,利用中小企业发票数据对其信用风险进行评估,并针对不同行业、不同性质的中小企业制定相应的银行信贷策略。首先,利用特征工程构建信用风险识别因子系统,并基于BP神经网络建立企业信用风险定量模型,预测企业违约概率;在此基础上,采用k-原型聚类算法对企业进行分类。根据各企业的违约概率和不同利率下的损失率,构建了以银行期望利润最大化为目标的非线性规划模型。采用模拟退火算法求解信用策略的最优解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Credit Strategy Design of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises
Small and medium-sized enterprises play an important role in promoting social and economic growth, which is an important foundation for the development of China’s national economy. From the perspective of bank interests, this paper uses the invoice data of small and medium-sized enterprises to evaluate their credit risk and formulates corresponding bank credit strategies for these enterprises in different industries and properties. Firstly, the credit risk identification factor system is constructed by using feature engineering, and the quantitative model of enterprise credit risk is built based on back propagation (BP) neural network to predict the default probability of enterprises. On this basis, the k-prototypes clustering algorithm is used to classify enterprises. According to the default probability of each enterprise and the loss rate under different interest rates, a nonlinear programming model, with the maximum expected profit of banks as the goal, is constructed. The simulated annealing algorithm is used to obtain the optimal solution of the credit strategy.
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