基于agent的家庭节水技术采用复杂自适应机制仿真建模框架

Kambiz Rasoulkhani, Brianne Logasa, Maria E. Presa-Reyes, A. Mostafavi
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引用次数: 13

摘要

使用新技术来维护、建造和再利用自然产生的产品,如沥青、土壤和水,可以保护环境(Baqersad et. al 2017,2016)。本研究的目的是详细说明和模拟家庭在安装节水技术方面的行为,并评估可能在家庭一级增加节水技术采用的策略。特别地,本研究创建了一个基于agent的建模框架,以了解影响家庭采用节水技术的各种因素和动态行为。该模型捕捉了各种人口特征、家庭属性、社会网络影响和定价政策;然后同时评估它们对家庭采用节水技术决策的影响。以迈阿密海滩市为例,对所提出的仿真模型进行了应用验证。模拟结果确定了家庭节水技术采用中各种因素的交叉效应,并调查了采用的情景景观,可以为政策制定和规划提供信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Agent-based modeling framework for simulation of complex adaptive mechanisms underlying household water conservation technology adoption
Using new technologies to maintain, construct, and reuse naturally created products like asphalt, soils, and water can reserve the environment (Baqersad et. al 2017, 2016). The objective of this study was to specify and model the behavior of households regarding the installation of water conservation technology and evaluate strategies that could potentially increase water conservation technology adoption at the household level. In particular, this study created an agent-based modeling framework in order to understand various factors and dynamic behaviors affecting the adoption of water conservation technology by households. The model captures various demographic characteristics, household attributes, social network influence, and pricing policies; and then evaluates their influence simultaneously on household decisions in adoption of water conservation technology. The application of the proposed simulation model was demonstrated in a case study of the City of Miami Beach. The simulation results identified the intersectional effects of various factors in household water conservation technology adoption and also investigated the scenario landscape of the adoptions that can inform policy formulation and planning.
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