重新审视商业银行的盈利能力:来自中东和北非地区石油和非石油出口国的新证据

Nermeen Abdullah, Y. Tan
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文利用2004-2014年11个国家的数据,研究了中东和北非(MENA)地区石油和非石油国家商业银行盈利能力的决定因素。由于银行没有义务向Bankscope数据库填写报告,因此从样本中省略了不规则报告银行,仅使用常规报告银行对模型进行重新估计,并提供了总银行样本与常规报告银行样本的比较分析。使用两步系统GMM和固定效应模型,结果表明,当从样本中省略不规则报告银行时,信贷风险为负且高度显著,特别是在非石油国家,与石油国家的情况不同,这表明如果将不规则报告银行添加到样本中可能会导致一些估计系数的偏差,如果它们占总银行样本的相当大的百分比。多元化是石油国家盈利能力的关键决定因素。没有足够的证据支持普惠金融和金融开放对银行盈利能力的影响。此外,全球金融危机严重影响了石油国家的银行盈利能力。根据每个国家组,向银行管理层提供了若干政策建议,供其遵循。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Profitability of Commercial Banks Revisited: New Evidence from Oil and Non-Oil Exporting Countries in the MENA Region
This paper investigates the determinants of commercial bank profitability in oil and non-oil countries of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region using data from 11 countries over the period 2004–2014. Since banks are under no obligation to fill reports to Bankscope database, irregular reporting banks are omitted from the sample and the model is re-estimated using only regular reporting banks, and a comparative analysis between total banks' sample and regular reporting banks' sample is provided. Using the two-step system GMM and fixed effects models, the results indicate that credit risk is negative and highly significant when irregular reporting banks are omitted from the sample particularly in non-oil countries unlike the oil countries case, which indicates that adding irregular reporting banks to the sample could lead to bias in some estimated coefficients if they constitute a considerable percentage of the total banks' sample. Diversification is a key determinant for profitability in oil countries. No enough evidence to support the impact of financial inclusion and financial openness on bank profitability. In addition, the global financial crisis has significantly affected bank profitability in oil countries. Several policy implications are provided to the bank management to follow based on each country group.
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