西非国家经济共同体(ECOWAS)电力消费动态面板模型

Nasiru Inuwa Kanuri, Sagir Adamu, A. Saidu, Muhammad Bello Sani
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在2007–2016年期间,对西非国家经济共同体(ECOWAS)成员国电力消费对经济增长的影响进行了研究。本研究采用静态面板模型和动态面板模型,分别采用Fixed‐Effect、Random‐Effect、Difference GMM和System GMM的形式。结果表明,无论是静态面板模型还是动态面板模型,电力消费对经济增长都有显著的正向影响。在两种模型中,资本对经济增长都有显著的正向影响。同样,劳动力仅在GMM模型中对经济增长系统表现出显著的正向影响。由于这项研究支持电力消费增长假说,因此建议西非经共体国家探索其他替代发电来源,以确保充足和可靠的电力供应。这可以在个别国家一级实现,办法是利用每个国家可获得的可再生资源的潜力,例如生物量、生物燃料和太阳能。同样,应加强建立西非电力联营(WAPP)和西非天然气管道(WAGP)的区域努力,以增加供应和电网的可靠性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dynamic Panel Modelling of Electricity Consumption and Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)
The effect of electricity consumption on economic growth of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Member Countries has been examined during the period 2007–2016. The study applied both static and dynamic panel models in the form of Fixed‐Effect, Random‐Effect, Difference GMM and System GMM. The results revealed that electricity consumption has a positive and statistically significant impact on economic growth for both static and dynamic panel models. Capital has also been found to have impacted positively and significantly on economic growth in both models. Similarly, labour showed a positive and significant impact on economic growth system GMM model only. Since the study supports electricity consumption led‐growth hypothesis, therefore, it is recommended that ECOWAS countries should explore other alternative sources of electricity generation in order to ensure sufficient and reliable supply of electricity. This can be achieved at individual country level by utilising the potentials of renewable endowments such as biomass, biofuels and solar energy available to each country. Equally, the regional efforts to establish West African Power Pool (WAPP) and West African Gas Pipeline (WAGP) in order to increase the supply as well as grid reliability should be strengthened.
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