摩洛哥站点的平均每小时全球辐射预测

R. Mejdoul, M. Taqi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摩洛哥最近越来越重视发展可再生能源。事实上,太阳能热能领域提供了大量的投资机会。要建立这种技术,预测每月平均每天每小时的辐射量是非常重要的。本文对摩洛哥两个不同气候区的平均每小时全球辐射实测资料和三种预测模式进行了统计比较。统计指标为均方根误差(RMSE)、平均偏差误差(MBE)和相关系数(R)。我们注意到,经Gueymard (CPRG)修正的Collares-Preira和Rabl相关更符合阿特拉斯山脉西(卡萨布兰卡)和东(瓦尔扎扎特)两侧这两个地区的实测数据。Collares-Preira和Rabl模型(CPR)给出的结果与CPRG几乎相同,但Whillier Liu和Joradan (WLJ)低估了太阳正午的测量值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A mean hourly global radiation prediction in Moroccan sites
Morocco gives recently increasing importance to develop renewable energy. In fact, a lot of investment opportunities in the sector of solar thermal energy are offered. To establish this kind of technology, predicting hourly radiation received during an average day of the month is very important. This paper proposes a statistical comparison between measured data of mean hourly global radiation at two different climate regions located in Morocco and three predicting models. Statistical indicators which are root mean square error (RMSE), mean bias error (MBE) and correlation coefficient (R) are used. We noticed that the Collares-Preira and Rabl correlation as modified by Gueymard (CPRG) fits more closely the measured data in these two regions at the West (Casablanca) and the East (Ouarzazate) sides of Atlas Mountains. Collares-Preira and Rabl model (CPR) gives almost the same result as CPRG but the Whillier Liu and Joradan (WLJ) under-estimates the measured values at solar noon.
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