天气资料在验证空气质素模式中的作用

J. Sudarsan, D. Maurya, Ruchi Singh, O. S. Muhammad Feroz
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引用次数: 4

摘要

空气质量弥散模型已被用于预测空气污染物的地面浓度(GLC),如颗粒物质、SO2和NOx等。工业源复合短期版本3 (ISCST3)是由美国环境保护署(USEPA)开发的分散模型,在印度被广泛采用,用于预测工业排放造成的全球变暖。美国气象学会/环境保护署监管模型改进委员会开发了一个改进版本的模型,即空气扩散模型(AERMOD)来预测GLC。自2005年以来,美国环保署采用AERMOD作为其监管模式。本研究考察了AERMOD是否适合印度的条件,特别是金奈附近的农村地区。以某燃料油为燃料的工业点源为例,验证了AERMOD模型的有效性。将AERMOD预测的GLC值与实测GLC值进行对比研究。本研究还使用ISCST3对GLC进行预测,并在模型之间进行了数值比较。本研究旨在比较AERMOD和ISCST3模型对环境空气质量的预测效果。此外,本文还利用当地气象资料对AERMOD和ISCST3模式进行了更精确的SO2点源排放验证。研究表明,天气数据在模型验证和预测某一特定站点的空气污染浓度方面发挥着至关重要的作用。AERMOD和ISCST3的预测浓度明显低于实测值,预测数据的准确性主要取决于天气数据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Role of weather data in validating air quality models
Air quality dispersion models have been used to predict the ground level concentrations (GLC) of air pollutants such as Particulate matter, SO2 and NOx etc. Industrial Source Complex Short Term Version 3 (ISCST3), a dispersion model developed by United States Environment Protection Agency (USEPA) is widely adopted in India to predict the GLC due to emissions from the industries. American Meteorological Society/Environment Protection Agency Regulatory Model Improvement Committee has developed an improved version model, Aermic dispersion Model (AERMOD) to predict the GLC. USEPA has adopted AERMOD as its regulatory model since 2005. This study examines the suitability of AERMOD for Indian conditions especially for a rural area near by Chennai. The validity of AERMOD model is examined considering a point source of emission from an industry which uses furnace oil as fuel. The study has been conducted to compare the predicted value using AERMOD and the actual value of GLC by field observations. The study also used ISCST3 to predict the GLC and the values obtained have been compared between the models. This study aimed at the comparison of the AERMOD and ISCST3 models for ambient air quality prediction. Further in this paper, local meteorological data have been used to a greater accuracy to validate the models AERMOD and ISCST3 for the point source of emission of SO2. It is clear from this study that weather data playing a vital role in validation of model and to predict the air pollution concentration in a particular station. And also it is clear that both AERMOD and ISCST3 have under predicted the concentrations than that of the observed value and the accuracy of the predicated data is mainly depending on the weather data.
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