非恒定种群的疟疾病媒流行模型

Serigne Modou Ndiaye
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文给出了具有直接传播的媒介-宿主流行病模型的动态特性。疟疾传播模型由常微分方程组定义。宿主种群分为四个亚种群:易感、暴露、感染和恢复,病媒种群分为三个亚种群:易感、暴露和感染。利用Lyapunov函数理论,得到了无病平衡和地方病平衡全局稳定的若干充分条件。发现了反映该流行病在人口中演变特征的基本繁殖数。最后,通过数值模拟研究了关键参数对媒介传播疾病传播的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Vector Epidemic Model of Malaria with Nonconstant-Size Population
The paper presents the dynamic characteristics of a vector-host epidemic model with direct transmission. The malaria propagation model is defined by a system of ordinary differential equations. The host population is divided into four subpopulations: susceptible, exposed, infected and recovered, and the vector population is divided into three subpopulations: susceptible, exposed and infected. Using the theory of the Lyapunov functions, certain sufficient conditions for the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium are obtained. The basic reproduction number that characterizes the evolution of the epidemic in the population was found. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to study the influence of the key parameters on the spread of vector-borne disease.
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