白海地区温度向新相态转变的研究

I. Serykh, A. Kostianoy, S. Lebedev, E. Kostianaia
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引用次数: 4

摘要

研究了白海、摩尔曼斯克、阿尔汉格尔斯克地区和卡累利阿共和国地区近地面气温和涡度的风速场变化。我们分析了1950-2020年期间NCEP/ NCAR月平均再分析数据。使用线性趋势估计的平均地表气温增长为+0.240℃/10年。在这种线性增长的背景下,观测到地表气温的显著年代际变化。强调了以下几个时期:气候大陆性增强(1950-1976)、海洋性气候增强(1977-1998)和地表气温快速上升(1999-2020)。从气候大陆性增加的时期过渡到海洋性气候增加的时期,与北大西洋对所研究区域的影响增加有关。提出了地面气温快速增长期是由于俄罗斯北极西部气候系统进入一个新的相态而引起的假设。观测到的北极变暖导致海冰减少,这导致巴伦支海和白海表面吸收的太阳能增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the transition of temperature regime of the White Sea Region to a new phase state
Changes in near surface air temperature (SAT) and vorticity of the wind speed field of the White Sea and the territory of the Murmansk and Arkhangelsk regions and the Republic of Karelia are investigated. We analyzed the monthly average NCEP/ NCAR reanalysis data for the period 1950–2020. The average surface air temperature growth estimated using a linear trend was +0.240C/10 years. Against the background of this linear growth, significant interdecadal changes in surface air temperature are observed. The following periods are highlighted: the strengthening of the continentality of the climate (1950–1976), a more maritime climate (1977–1998), and the rapid growth of surface air temperature (1999–2020). The transition from a period of increasing continentality of the climate to a period of a more maritime climate is associated with an increase in the influence of the North Atlantic on the region under study. A hypothesis has been put forward that the period of rapid growth of surface air temperature is caused by the transition of the climatic system of the western part of the Russian Arctic into a new phase state. The observed warming in the Arctic has caused a reduction in sea ice, which has led to an increase in solar energy absorption by the surface of the Barents and White Seas.
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