极值理论在亚得里亚海风力条件下电力系统安全运行风险测量中的应用

A. Horvat, T. Plavšić, I. Kuzle
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引用次数: 3

摘要

亚得里亚海风力条件下的风力发电,特别是在克罗地亚控制区,非常依赖于多变的风力条件,因此非常不可预测。准确的风电功率预测对保障电力系统安全运行和电力安全供应具有重要意义。特别关注了极值理论在风电预测风险的定义、评估和测量以及电力系统安全规划、运行和控制风险中的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of extreme value theory for measuring risk of safe operation of power system in Adriatic wind conditions
Wind power production in Adriatic wind conditions, especially in Croatian Control Area, is extremely dependent on variable wind conditions and therefore very unpredictable. Accurate wind power forecasting is important to ensure safe power system operation and safe electricity supply. Special attention has been paid to application of extreme value theory in defining, evaluating and measuring risk of wind power forecasting and therefore risk of safe power system planning, operation and control.
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