可再生能源输电网:抽水蓄能水电站的风险?

M. Hildmann, Andreas Ulbig, G. Andersson
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引用次数: 19

摘要

新可再生能源(RES)的持续大规模部署,主要以风力涡轮机和光伏(PV)机组的形式,导致随机电力输入的份额越来越大,这不可避免地对电力现货市场产生影响。本文分析了可再生能源入网对现货市场价差及其波动率的影响。讨论了这些对现货价格的影响可能对抽水蓄能水电站的商业模式构成的潜在风险。此外,还研究了现货价格对风电和光伏入电的依赖关系。本文的分析主要集中在德国的情况,在相对和绝对的条件下,随机电力输入的高份额和成熟的现货市场。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electricity grid in-feed from renewable sources: A risk for pumped-storage hydro plants?
The ongoing large-scale deployment of new renewable energy sources (RES), mostly in the form of wind turbines and photovoltaic (PV) units, causes an increasing share of stochastic electricity in-feed, which inevitably has impacts on electricity spot markets. In this paper, an analysis of the impacts of RES in-feeds on the spot market price spread as well as its volatility is presented. The potential risk that these impacts on spot prices may pose for the business model of pumped-storage hydro plants is discussed. Furthermore, the dependency of spot prices on wind turbine and PV electricity in-feeds are studied. The presented analysis focuses on the situation in Germany with its, in relative and absolute terms, high share of stochastic electricity in-feed and its mature spot market.
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