ESTABLISHMENT OF A TOURIST AND RECREATIONAL CLUSTER IN THE REGION: REASONABILITY AND FORECAST

The article assesses the feasibility of establishing a regional economic cluster. The assessment is tested for the tourism industry. It is based on a two-level classification system of Russian regions and simulation modeling. The classification made it possible to single out typological groups of regions with different industry orientations and to identify groups of different industry development levels. Simulation modeling required studying a number of indicators of the tourism industry and identifying patterns and processes occurring in it in a formalized form. Using built models, the results of the tourism industry between 2018–2027 were predicted. Along with that, the investments were provided for the establishment and development of a tourist and recreational cluster.