疫情对法国经济和国内政治斗争的影响

V. Chernega
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了法国当局抗击冠状病毒大流行的方式,以及后者对该国经济和政治局势的影响。和其他许多国家一样,法国总统马克龙(E. Macron)和政府被迫在拯救生命的需要、避免医疗系统负担过重和防止经济出现灾难性恶化之间进行权衡。此外,他还必须考虑2022年总统选举连任的前景。最终,他们选择了一种策略,即在一定程度上脱离之前强硬的“孤立政权”,同时国家对经济和弱势社会群体提供大规模支持。作者指出,虽然疫情危机冲击了许多经济部门,造成了一定程度的社会不平等加剧,但GDP的下降和社会紧张局势的加剧并没有预期的那么严重。疫情还“压制”了国内的政治斗争。抗议运动(尤其是“黄背心”运动)在2018年至2019年震惊了整个国家,并极大地影响了马克龙的个人评级,但最终都化为乌有。2020-2021年国家元首的支持率略有上升,这使他在即将到来的连任竞选中有机会,但并不能保证这一点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of the pandemic on the economy and internal political struggle in France
The article examines the modalities of the French authorities’ fight against the coronavirus pandemic, as well as the impact of the latter on the economic and political situation in the country. As in many other countries, President E. Macron and the government were forced to maneuver between the need to save lives, avoid an excessive burden on the health care system and prevent a catastrophic deterioration in the economy. The head of state, in addition, had to think about the prospects for his re-election in the presidential elections in 2022. Ultimately, a strategy was chosen that combined a some departure from the previous, tough «regime of isolation» with massive state support for the economy and vulnerable social groups. The author shows that although the pandemic crisis hit many economic sectors and caused a certain aggravation of social inequality, the drop in GDP and the growth of social tension turned out to be less than predicted at its initial stage. The pandemic also «muffled» the internal political struggle. The protest movements (especially the movement of the «yellow vests»), which shook the country in 2018–2019 and dramatically affected the personal rating of E. Macron, generally came to naught. The popularity of the head of state in 2020–2021 has slightly increased, which leaves him a chance in the upcoming struggle for re-election, but does not guarantee it.
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