模糊集理论在突发性水污染事故应急决策中的应用

Z. Yunlong, Liu Hong, M. Fang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

水污染事故频发等环境问题已成为我国政府亟待解决的应急管理问题之一。当发生突发水污染事件时,根据实时事件信息做出有效的应急决策是非常重要的,适当的应对措施可以减轻对环境的污染和成本。由于可能需要在信息有限的情况下迅速作出决定,因此在紧急情况下对决策技能的需求急剧增加。本文主要基于模糊集理论,将模糊集方法应用于突发性水污染事故复杂情况下的决策。由于可获得的信息不能以数字形式表示,因此采用模糊集理论来表示候选项目的评价等级。该方法可用于帮助决策者选择最佳的应急决策。以水污染事故应急预案的选择为例,说明了该方法的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of fuzzy set theory in emergency decision-making of sudden water pollution accident
Environment problem such as the frequent water pollution accidents has become one of the most notable emergency management problems for our government. When there is an emergency water pollution event, it is important to make an effective emergency decision according to the information of real-time event and the appropriate response can mitigate the environment pollution and costs. Because decisions may need to be taken very quickly and with limited information, the need for decision-making skills increases dramatically in emergencies. This paper primarily based on the fuzzy set theory and used the method to make a decision in complex situation of sudden water pollution accidents. The fuzzy set theory is used to represent the evaluation ratings of candidate items because of the information available can't be numerical. The approach can be used to help the decision maker choose the best emergency decisions. An example of choosing an effective emergency plan of water pollution accident is used to illustrate the method.
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