{"title":"阿拉伯之春对突尼斯经济的影响","authors":"S. Matta, S. Appleton, M. Bleaney","doi":"10.1093/WBER/LHW059","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper uses Synthetic Control Methodology to estimate the output loss in Tunisia as a result of the “Arab Spring.” The results suggest that the loss was 5.5 percent, 5.1 percent, and 6.4 percent of GDP in 2011, 2012, and 2013 respectively. These findings are robust to a series of tests, including placebo tests, and are consistent with those from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model of Tunisia’s economic growth. Moreover, this paper finds that investment was the main channel through which the economy was adversely impacted by the Arab Spring.","PeriodicalId":447041,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Intra-State Conflict eJournal","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2016-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"34","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian Economy\",\"authors\":\"S. Matta, S. Appleton, M. Bleaney\",\"doi\":\"10.1093/WBER/LHW059\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper uses Synthetic Control Methodology to estimate the output loss in Tunisia as a result of the “Arab Spring.” The results suggest that the loss was 5.5 percent, 5.1 percent, and 6.4 percent of GDP in 2011, 2012, and 2013 respectively. These findings are robust to a series of tests, including placebo tests, and are consistent with those from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model of Tunisia’s economic growth. Moreover, this paper finds that investment was the main channel through which the economy was adversely impacted by the Arab Spring.\",\"PeriodicalId\":447041,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Conflict Studies: Intra-State Conflict eJournal\",\"volume\":\"23 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2016-10-11\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"34\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Conflict Studies: Intra-State Conflict eJournal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1093/WBER/LHW059\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Conflict Studies: Intra-State Conflict eJournal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1093/WBER/LHW059","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian Economy
This paper uses Synthetic Control Methodology to estimate the output loss in Tunisia as a result of the “Arab Spring.” The results suggest that the loss was 5.5 percent, 5.1 percent, and 6.4 percent of GDP in 2011, 2012, and 2013 respectively. These findings are robust to a series of tests, including placebo tests, and are consistent with those from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model of Tunisia’s economic growth. Moreover, this paper finds that investment was the main channel through which the economy was adversely impacted by the Arab Spring.
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