概率分析在青少年参与蔬菜生产决策中的应用

N. Etim, Dorothy A. Thompson
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引用次数: 5

摘要

青年是农业的后继者,因此也是粮食安全的未来。目前,他们约占尼日利亚人口的60%,多年来为国家发展做出了重大贡献。不幸的是,目前的环境使他们很难通过参与农业来充分挖掘生产潜力。老龄化的小农不太可能提高可持续扩大农业生产所需的能力。因此,迫切需要让青年参与进来,使他们看到农业的美好未来,并影响他们通过有效参与农业生产来建设能力。然而,一些因素继续阻碍着能力建设和青年对蔬菜种植的有效参与。本文通过实证研究,探讨了影响青年参与小规模水叶生产意愿的因素。采用多阶段抽样程序选择具有代表性的水叶生产者。通过问卷调查,对100名农民进行了初步调查。采用单变量probit回归模型对数据进行分析。分析结果表明,影响青年参与水叶生产的最关键因素是年龄、教育程度、家庭成员规模和农场收入。结果表明,接受过某种形式教育的青少年更愿意参与水叶生产。研究结果进一步表明,农业收入较高的家庭的年轻人更愿意参与水叶生产。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of Probit Analysis in the Decision of Youths to Participate in Vegetable Production
Youths are successor farming generation and therefore the future of food security. At present, they constitute about 60% of Nigeria’s population and have over the years contributed significantly to national development. Unfortunately, the present environment makes it  difficult to explore their full potentials in  production through participation in agriculture. The ageing smallholder farmers are less likely to increase capacity needed to sustainably expand agricultural production. There is therefore a pressing need to engage the youth in ways that they can see a promising future in agriculture as well as influence them to build capacity through effective involvement in agricultural production. Several factors however, have continued to hinder capacity building and effective  participation of youths in vegetable farming. An empirical study was conducted to estimate the factors affecting the willingness  of youth to  participate in small scale waterleaf production. The representative waterleaf producers were selected using the multi stage sampling procedures.With the aid of questionnaire, primary data were obtained from 100 farmers. Univariate probit regression model was used to analyze the data. Results of analysis indicated that the most critical factors affecting the participation of youths in waterleaf production were age, educational qualification, size of household members, and farm income. Results indicated that youths who have acquired some form of education were more willing to be involved in waterleaf production. Findings further indicated that youth in families with higher income from farming activities were more willing to participate in waterleaf production.
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