紧急情况下建筑业投资:收益与风险

L. Nikolić
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,作者分析了紧急情况(主要是COVID-19大流行)对建筑业投资的影响。在塞尔维亚,建筑业在2019冠状病毒病大流行的情况下继续扩张。结合建设项目的风险评估和国家减少疫情干扰的行动,我们可以得出结论,国家对建筑业的措施的短期效果支持了建设项目的实施。第一次大流行浪潮影响了项目管理战略的变化,其目的是适应变化的情况。然而,这一大流行病的长期经济后果仍然难以观察。长期的流行病影响是结构性失调的结果,即所谓的“多重”负面影响,这是经济流动与活动之间联系的结果。受影响的经济部门越多,乘数就越多;此外,还有补偿效应(例如,制药工业的扩大、计算机设备的生产等)。相关经济活动的复杂互动决定了单个经济主体的初始结果,进而影响未来建设项目的盈利能力。对我国建筑业最大的激励是统一程序中央登记(CRUP)的引入。透过此系统,市民可在网上以电子形式提交及发出建造及使用设施所需的完整文件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investments in construction industry in emergencies: Benefits and risks
In this paper, the author analyzes the effects of an emergency situation, primarily the COVID-19 pandemic, on investments in construction industry. In Serbia, the expansion of construction industry continued in the conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the risk assessment that accompanies construction projects and the actions of the state to reduce pandemic disturbances, we can conclude that the short-term effects of state measures in construction industry have supported the implementation of construction projects. The first pandemic wave affected a change in the project management strategy aimed at adapting to the changed circumstances. However, the long-term economic consequences of the pandemic are still difficult to observe. Long-term pandemic effects emerge as a consequence of structural disorders, the so-called "multiplied" negative effects, which are the result of the connection between economic flows and activities. The more economic segments are affected, the more multipliers there will be; moreover, there are compensatory effects (e.g. the expansion of the pharmaceutical industry, production of computer equipment, etc.). The complex interaction of related economic activities determines the initial result of individual economic entities, which will affect the profitability of future construction projects. The biggest incentive for construction industry in our country is the introduction of the Central Register of Unified Procedures (CRUP). By using this system, complete documentation required for construction and use of facilities may be submitted and issued online in e-form.
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