从可持续性角度评估农业生产系统:来自非洲农业生态区的一些发现

K. U. Ifegwu
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摘要

本文利用生产函数的框架,从非洲相对同质的农业生态区界定的可持续性角度评估了农业生产系统。所用数据分别取自1961-2009年期间的粮农组织统计数据库、国家大气研究中心和世界银行指标。数据分为三个子时期,即:整期(1961-2009年)、结构调整前(1961-1985年)和结构调整后(1986-2009年)。这是必要的,因为需要检查生产系统是否可能已经被诸如政策(SAP)等冲击转移出系统进化的总体轨迹。调查不同农业生态区的自然资源基础质量是否出现退化;估计的全要素生产率趋势与选定资源质量变量随时间的变化有关。结果表明,北部和南部农业生态区TFP呈非负趋势,表明生产系统具有可持续性。然而,结果表明,在研究的5个农业生态区中,有3个区域的政策工具(结构调整方案)可能使农业或生产系统偏离了系统演变的总体轨迹,这些区域显示出负的全要素生产率趋势。在方案方案前的改革期间,注意到资源质量随着时间的推移而下降,但在方案方案后的时期,资源质量继续下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ASSESSING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION SYSTEMS FROM A SUSTAINABILITY PERSPECTIVE: SOME FINDINGS FROM AGRO-ECOLOGICAL ZONES OF AFRICA
The paper assessed agricultural production systems from a sustainability perspective defined in terms of relatively homogeneous agro-ecological zones of Africa, using the framework of a production function. Data used were drawn from FAOSTAT, the National Centre for Atmospheric Research and World Bank Indicators respectively for the period 1961-2009. The data were separated into three sub periods, namely: entire period (1961-2009), the pre-Structural Adjustment Period (SAP) reform period (1961-1985) and the post SAP reform period (1986-2009). This was necessitated by the need to examine whether production systems may have been shifted out of the overall trajectory of system evolution by shocks e.g. policy (SAP) among others. To investigate whether there has been a degradation of the quality of the natural resource base across the diverse agro-ecological zones; the estimated TFP trends were related to changes in selected resource quality variables over time. The results showed that the Northern and Southern agro-ecological zones had non-negative trends in TFP, indicating sustainability of production systems. However, the result indicated that the policy instrument (structural adjustment programme) may have shifted farming or production systems out of the overall trajectory of system evolution in three out of the five agro-ecological zones studied which showed negative TFP trends. A degradation of resource quality over time was noted during the pre-SAP reform period, but was maintained during the post-SAP period.
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