现代货币理论的基本数学模型

Yasuhito Tanaka
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引用次数: 6

摘要

近年来,一种名为MMT (Modern Monetary Theory,现代货币理论)的经济学流派引起了人们的关注,但尚未对其进行理论或数学分析。本研究旨在为MMT理论的框架提供理论基础,同时保持新古典微观经济学框架的基础,如通过效用函数和预算约束实现消费者效用最大化、垄断竞争中企业利润最大化、商品供需均衡等。我们将使用一个简单的静态模型,其中包括由于技术进步而导致的经济增长,我们将论证:1)在经济增长时,持续的预算赤字对于维持充分就业是必要的,而且这种赤字不必由未来的盈余来弥补;2)当实际预算赤字超过维持充分就业所必需和足够的水平时,就会引起通货膨胀。为了避免进一步的通货膨胀,有必要保持一定的预算赤字水平;预算赤字不足会导致经济衰退和非自愿失业。要从中复苏,预算赤字必须超过维持充分就业所需的水平。然而,由于在恢复充分就业后,持续的预算赤字是必要的,为克服衰退而创造的赤字不需要、也不应该由未来的预算盈余来弥补。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Elementary Mathematical Model for MMT (Modern Monetary Theory)
In recent years, a school of economics called MMT (Modern Monetary Theory) has been attracting attention, but it has not been analyzed theoretically or mathematically. This study aims to provide a theoretical basis for the skeleton of the MMT argument, while maintaining the basics of the neoclassical microeconomic framework, such as utility maximization of consumers by means of utility functions and budget constraint, profit maximization of firms in monopolistic competition, and equilibrium of supply and demand of goods. Using a simple static model that includes economic growth due to technological progress, we will argue that: 1) a continuous budget deficit is necessary to maintain full employment when the economy is growing, and that this deficit does not have to be covered by future surpluses; 2) Inflation is caused when the actual budget deficit exceeds the level necessary and sufficient to maintain full employment. In order to avoid further inflation, it is necessary to maintain a certain level of budget deficit; 3) A shortfall in the budget deficit leads to recession and involuntary unemployment. To recover from this, a budget deficit that exceeds the level necessary to maintain full employment is required. However, since a continuous budget deficit is necessary after full employment is restored, the deficit created to overcome the recession does not need to be covered by future budget surpluses, nor should it be.
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