意大利covid - 19:与临床、人口、社会变量和水的相关性

Cornelli Umberto, Belcaro Giovanni, Cesarone Maria Rosaria, R. Martino, C. Roberto
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引用次数: 2

摘要

背景:在大多数发达国家,covid - 19是一个非常严重的问题。材料与方法:检索意大利3月1日至4月22日covid - 19阳性病例和死亡病例数据,检索意大利民防部门发布的官方文件。用粗数和日差值对生长曲线进行了分析。这些数据与临床、人口、社会变量和从公共记录中检索到的水(河流线性公里和国内消费)相关。结果:covid - 19正在影响意大利最具生产力的地区,特别是在北部地区。期间有症状的阳性病例和死亡的平均值分别为2.6%和0.021%,阳性病例和死亡的比值为13.8%。曲线的拐点出现在首次出现症状病例后大约3-4周,随着时间的推移,它们的下降似乎是无症状的。尽管covid - 19似乎表现为一种独立的疾病,但未发现与衰老、心血管疾病、糖尿病和吸烟相关。每1000名居民的汽车数量和公共交通的公共汽车数量显示出显著的相关性。区域内河流的公里数与生活用水量有非常高的相关性。结论:新冠肺炎疫情对意大利最富裕地区的影响尤为明显,这些地区的人们之间的高度互动是常见的生活方式。该疾病结合病毒表现为一种独立的疾病,与衰老、吸烟或慢性疾病没有表现出相关的影响。封锁是有效的,但就病毒传播而言,水污染仍然是一个需要解决的明显问题。covid - 19对各地区影响的差异表明,应将资源主要集中在病毒感染严重的地区。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cov19 in Italy: Correlation with Clinical, Demographical, Social Variables, and Water
Background: The cov19 is a very serious problem in most of the developed countries. Material and Methods: The data of positive cases and deaths due to Cov19 from March 1st to April 22nd in Italy were retrieved from the official documents released by the Department of the Italian Protezione Civile. The curves of the growth were analyzed both in terms of crude numbers and differential values among days. The data were correlated with clinical, demographical, social variables, and water (rivers linear Km, and domestic consumption) retrieved from public records. Results: Cov19 is affecting the most productive areas of Italy, particularly in the Northen territories. The average values of symptomatic positive cases and deaths in the period were respectively 2.6 % and 0.021 %, while the ratio between positive case and death was 13.8 %. The pick of the curves was reached approximately 3-4 weeks after the appearance of the first symptomatic cases, and their declining over time seems to be asymptotic. No correlation was found with aging, cardiovascular diseases, diabetes and smoke, though Cov19 seems to behave as an independent disease. Significant correlations were shown with cars/1000 inhabitants and number of buses for public transportation. A very high correlation was found with Km of rivers in the regional territories and the domestic water consumption. Conclusion: Cov19 is affecting particularly the most prosperous Italian Regions, were the high interaction among people is the common life style. The disease bound to the virus behaves as an independent disease and aging, smoking or chronic diseases did not show to have a relevant impact. The lockdown was effective, but the water pollution, in terms of viral spreading, is still an overt problem to be solved. The differences of the Cov19 impact on the Regions suggest to focus the resources mainly in those were the viral infection was violent.
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