对香蕉(1980 - 1987)和穆加贝(1988 - 2017)政府期间津巴布韦经济政策成功/失败的关键诊断:学习艰难的道路

Thabani Nyoni
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引用次数: 8

摘要

津巴布韦在过去37年中陷入的瘫痪状态可以追溯到香蕉政府。自1980年以来,津巴布韦制定并随后实施了一些经济政策,但其经济仍然受到密切关注。这个谜题引起了津巴布韦国内外许多经济学家的惊讶。这是谁的错?这可能是许多津巴布韦人心中挥之不去的问题。要想百分百确定是谁对津巴布韦或其他国家的经济政策的失败或成功做出了重大贡献,这并不容易。感谢上帝,这一分析并没有试图解决与“指责游戏”有关的问题,而是试图通过批判性地审查津巴布韦自1980年以来实施的经济政策的成功/失败来揭开津巴布韦经济政策动态的神秘面纱。研究人员还试图强调政治经济学在任何经济政策的成败中所起的重要作用。根据新的政治格局,这项研究揭示了一些重要的教训。在主要的政策处方中,该研究建议新政府保持可信和可预测的经济政策格局。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Critical Diagnosis of the Success/Failure of Economic Policies in Zimbabwe during the Banana (1980 – 1987) and the Mugabe (1988 – 2017) Administrations: Learning the Hard Way
The status of paralysis in which Zimbabwe has slipped throughout the past 37 years might be traced back to the Banana Administration. Since 1980, a number of economic policies have been formulated and subsequently implemented in Zimbabwe and yet the economy is still under intensive care. This puzzle has raised the eye – brows of many economists in Zimbabwe and abroad. Who is to blame? This is the question that is probably lingering in the hearts of many Zimbabweans. It is not easy to come to a point where we may be 100% sure about the one who significantly contributed to the failure/success of any economic policy in Zimbabwe or else where. Thank God, this analysis does not seek to address issues to do with the “blame – game”, but rather attempts to demystify Zimbabwean economic policy dynamics by critically examining the success/failure of economic policies implemented in Zimbabwe since 1980. The researcher also attempts to highlight the important role played by the political economy in the success/failure of any economic policy at disposal. The study unpacks some important lessons in light of the new political dispensation. Amongst the main policy prescriptions, the study recommends the new government to maintain a credible and predictable economic policy landscape.
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