长期视角下的共和国

Richard A. Primus
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引用次数: 3

摘要

每一种政府制度最终都会消亡。这是人类状况的一个特征。按照世界文明的标准,美国一直是一个异常稳定的政体,美国人应该对这种稳定深表感激。但是,没有一个国家能免于历史的基本力量。认为我们所知道的宪政共和国将永远持续下去是不合理的。问题是什么时候它会结束——在我们的有生之年,或者在我们的孙子的有生之年,或者在几个世纪之后。考虑到美国人被社会化所期望的稳定条件,占主导地位的直觉可能是“从现在起很长一段时间,长到我们无法想象那时的生活会是什么样子。”直到最近,这一直是我自己自信的观点,而且它可能仍然是正确的。但是,认识到没有一种政府制度是永远存在的,应该使我们认识到,这种制度也有一天会走到尽头。一旦我们面对这个现实,我们也许就能以开放的心态思考世界末日会比我们预期的来得更快的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Republic in Long-Term Perspective
Every system of government eventually passes away. That's a feature of the human condition. The United States has been an unusually stable polity by the standards of world civilizations, and for that stability Americans should be deeply grateful. But no nation is exempt from the basic forces of history. It is not reasonable to think that the constitutional republic we know will last forever. The question is when it will meet its end-in our lifetimes, or in our grandchildren's, or centuries later. Given the stable conditions that living Americans were socialized to expect, the dominant intuition is probably something like "A very long time from now, long enough that we can't imagine what life will be like then." That was my own confident view until recently, and it may still turn out to be right. But the recognition that no system of government lasts forever should make us realize that this one, too, will one day run its course. Once we face that reality, we can perhaps think with open minds about the possibility that the end will come sooner than we expected.
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