基于威布尔分布的配电系统可靠性性能分析

M. Aliyari, V. Baghshani, A. Barabadi
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在配电系统的规划和运行中,对配电系统各组成部分的可靠性性能进行准确估计是一项基础工作,也是一项具有挑战性的工作。在可靠性性能分析中,经常使用威布尔概率分布。多年来,已经提出了几个新的分布,它们要么是从威布尔分布派生出来的,要么在某种程度上与威布尔分布有关。它们提供了丰富的内容,使它们适合为复杂的数据集建模。有效的可靠性性能分析需要很好地理解这些不同分布的属性,以及确定特定分布是否适合为给定数据集建模的工具和技术。许多这些衍生的分布在威布尔概率图(WPP)中有自己的形状。因此,WPP图可以作为通过这些分布进行模型选择的工具。本文介绍了基于威布尔分布族的现场故障数据的电能表可靠性性能分析实例。使用威布尔概率图(WPP)作为模型选择和验证的工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Reliability performance analysis in power distribution system using Weibull distribution-A case study
In planning and operation of an electric power distribution system, accurate estimation of the reliability performance of its different components is a fundamental and challenging part. Weibull probability distribution has been used frequently for the reliability performance analysis. Over the years several new distributions have been proposed that are either derived from, or in some way related to, the Weibull distributions. They provide a richness that makes them appropriate to model complex data sets. Effective reliability performance analysis require good understanding of the properties of these different distributions as well as tools and techniques to determine if a particular distribution is appropriate to model a given data set. Many of these derived distributions have their own shape in the Weibull probability plot (WPP). Hence, WPP plot can be used as a tool for model selection through these distributions. This paper presents a case study regarding the reliability performance analysis of the electricity meter based on the field failure data using the Weibull distribution family. Weibull Probability plot (WPP) is used as a tool for the model selection and validation.
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