最小贝叶斯因子在具有随机效应的平衡双向方差分析中的应用

Adekunle Omotayo Abidoye, Adewara A.A, Popoola J, Egburonu O. D
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引用次数: 0

摘要

根据显著性得出结论是统计分析中常见的做法。p值通常反映错误地得出零假设模型为真的概率;它们没有提供对解释统计结果同样重要的其他类型错误的信息。由于方差分量的参数空间的限制,标准的模型选择标准和检验程序往往不适合比较具有不同数量随机效应的模型。在本文中,我们专注于Held和Ott(2018)提出的最小贝叶斯因子,并将其应用于三种情况下具有随机效应的平衡双向方差分析(ANOVA),即:情况1:两个因素都是固定的;情况2:两个因素都是随机的;情形3:因子A是固定的,因子B是随机的。我们意识到,在所有三种情况下,考虑贝叶斯因素表明,在因素水平和相互作用的影响中,反对零变异性的零假设的证据很弱。这个结果是由于最小贝叶斯因子的保守性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of Minimum Bayes Factor to a Balanced Two-Way Anova with Random Effects
It is a common practice in statistical analysis to draw conclusions based on significance. P-values often reflect the probability of incorrectly concluding that a null hypothesized model is true; they do not provide information about other types of error that are also important for interpreting statistical results. Standard model selection criteria and test procedures are often inappropriate for comparing models with different numbers of random effects, due to constraints on the parameter space of the variance components. In this paper, we focused on a minimum Bayes factor proposed by Held and Ott (2018) and applied it to a balanced two way analysis of variance (ANOVA) with random effects under three cases namely: Case 1: both factors are fixed; Case 2: both factors are random; Case 3: factor A is fixed and factor B is random. We realized that in all the three cases, considered the Bayes factor indicates weak evidence against the null hypothesis of zero variability in the effects of the levels of the factors as well as the interactions. This result is due to the conservative nature of the minimum Bayes factor.
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