使用双极模糊名义分类过滤风险

A. Tchangani, F. Pérés
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引用次数: 0

摘要

管理大型复杂系统的风险需要识别、评估和确定系统可能面临的不同风险情景或不良事件的优先级;在某些活动或决策过程中,如决定投资一家公司或一个国家,向申请人提供贷款,招聘候选人填补空缺职位,为项目或基础设施提供资金等,应对风险需要对目标实体进行分类。对风险(不期望的事件或事件场景)进行优先级排序或过滤,或对某些活动的风险实体进行分类,返回到将它们分配到预定义的类或类别中,以便进行适当的处理。另一方面,场景或实体以及类或类别将具有一些属性,这些属性基本上表示其对不同目标,问题,利害关系或后果的影响或约束,这些属性确实代表了决策者和/或利益相关者的某些利益。这是一个名义分类问题,是一般多准则决策问题的一个子领域。由于描述类的属性和/或特征可能无法精确定义,因此可以使用模糊表示来处理这种不确定性,从而产生所谓的模糊名义分类。如果一个人只使用一个特征进行分类,那么该特征的某些值将导致对某一颗粒类别的某些选择或某些拒绝,而那些犹豫或怀疑将导致某些双极性。在本通讯中,将建立一个双极模糊名义分类框架,以解决风险过滤和/或分类问题;在国家风险分类领域的实际应用表明了导出方法的潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Filtering Risks using Bipolar Fuzzy Nominal Classification
Managing risks for large-scale complex systems requires identifying, assessing, and prioritizing different risk scenarios or undesirable events that systems may face; coping with risks when engaged in some activities or decision making processes such as deciding to invest in a company or a country, to offer loans to applicants, to recruit a candidate to fill vacant position, to fund projects or infrastructures, etc. necessitate to categorize the targeted entities. Prioritizing or filtering risks (undesirable events or events scenarios) or categorizing risky entities for some activities return to assigning them to a predefined classes or categories for their appropriate treatment. On other hand a scenario or an entity as well as a class or category will be characterized by some attributes that represent basically its impact or constraints on different objectives, issues, stakes, or consequences that do represent some interests for decision makers and/or stakeholders. This is a nominal classification problem that is a subfield of multi-criteria decision making problems in general. As the attributes and/or features characterizing classes may not be defined precisely, a fuzzy representation can be used to treat this uncertainty leading to what is known as fuzzy nominal classification. If one was to classify using only one feature there will be some values of that feature that leads to certain choice or certain rejection of a particulate class and those for which some hesitation or doubt will exist leading to some bipolarity. In this communication, a bipolar fuzzy nominal classification framework will be built to address risks filtering and/or categorization issues; a real world application in the domain of countries' risk classification show the potentiality of the derived approach.
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