印巴冲突:解决之路

T. Das
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引用次数: 0

摘要

印巴冲突是当今世界的主要冲突之一。自1947年巴基斯坦从印度独立出来以来,冲突一直持续,并在上个世纪演变成几次战争。在印度分治时期,本土邦(也被称为土邦)面临选择,要么加入印度,要么加入巴基斯坦,要么保持独立。几乎所有国家都加入了印度或巴基斯坦,加入过程基本是和平的。但像查谟和克什米尔这样的少数邦的情况并不像其他邦那样简单。起初,查谟和克什米尔的统治者选择了独立。在巴基斯坦军队入侵之后,他决定加入印度。1947年,印度军队阻止了巴基斯坦的入侵,并将其击退。目前,印度控制着该邦大约三分之二的土地,巴基斯坦控制着该邦三分之一的土地。随后分别在1965年、1971年和1999年爆发了三场战争。这些战争的经历对巴基斯坦来说并不愉快。可能这就是为什么他们开始庇护恐怖主义,沉迷于对印度的代理人战争的原因之一。目前尚不清楚该国从何时开始培育恐怖主义。据信,巴基斯坦政府在20世纪80年代“创造并培育”了恐怖组织。巴基斯坦的反印言论比经济发展更多。在这样做的过程中,该国越来越接近经济崩溃,并且仍然在FATF的灰名单上。那么,怎样才能摆脱这种不想要的局面呢?为了南亚地区的和平与发展,印巴冲突必须得到解决。如果能够确定这种冲突的成本和尽量减少冲突的战略,解决冲突的可行性是可能的。本文就是这样一种尝试。(修订本:Das, Tuhin K.,《亚洲建设和平杂志》;首尔Vol. 8, Iss. 2, (Nov 2020): 223-240。DOI: 10.18588/202011.00 a114)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
India and Pakistan Conflict: A Way towards Resolution
Conflict between India and Pakistan is one of the major conflicts in the world today. The conflict has been continued since the creation of Pakistan out of India in 1947 and turned into several wars during the last century. At the time of partition of India, the native states (also called princely states) were left with choices, to join either India or Pakistan or to remain an independent state. Almost all states joined either India or Pakistan and the accession process was mostly peaceful. But the cases of few states like Jammu and Kashmir were not as uncomplicated as other states. Initially the ruler of Jammu and Kashmir opted for independence. Then he decided to accede to India following an invasion by Pakistan-based forces. Indian troops stopped Pakistani invasion and pushed them back in 1947. At present India controls roughly two-third of the state and Pakistan controls one-third of the state. There were subsequent wars in 1965, 1971 and 1999. Experiences of those wars were not pleasant for Pakistan. Possibly this is one of the reasons why they started harbouring terrorism to indulge in proxy war against India. It is not known exactly when the country started nurturing terrorism. It is believed that the government of Pakistan had "created and nurtured" terrorist groups in the 1980’s. Pakistan has been more engaged in anti-India rhetoric than economic development. In doing so, the country is approaching more and more economic collapse and remains in the grey list of FATF. Then what is the way out of this unwanted situation? India-Pakistan conflict has to be resolved for the peace and development of this region (South Asia). Feasibility of conflict resolution may be possible if costs of such conflict and strategies to minimise them could be identified. The present paper is such an attempt. (Revised version: Das, Tuhin K., Asian Journal of Peacebuilding; Seoul Vol. 8, Iss. 2, (Nov 2020): 223-240. DOI:10.18588/202011.00a114)
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