影响评估过程、措施和方法

D. Getz
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们从四个规划或过程模型开始:一个用于预测影响(主要项目的立法通常要求的那种);一个用于事件后或开发后的内部审查;事件和旅游业对某一特定经济、环境或社会状况的影响的回顾性评估之一;另一个用于战略影响评估(针对政策、规划和战略)。图3.1以预测模型中的十个步骤为基准,对这些模型进行比较。然后介绍了一系列通用方法或工具,所有这些方法或工具都可以适用于许多可能的应用程序。最基本的是IA矩阵,通常用于将项目分解为其组件,并确定每个组件可能产生的影响。其他通用方法包括流程图、检查表、映射、决策树、场景、咨询、模拟预测和趋势分析。逻辑和TOC模型已经在前一章中解释过了。在随后的章节中讨论了更多与社会、文化、生态、建筑环境或经济影响相关的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact Assessment Process, Measures and Methods
We start with four planning or process models: one for forecasting impacts (the kind usually required by legislation for major projects); one for post-event or post-development IA; one of retrospective assessments of the impacts of events and tourism on a given state of the economy, environment or society; and another for strategic impact assessment (for policies, programmes and strategies). Figure 3.1 compares these models, with the ten steps in the forecasting model being the benchmark. Then a range of generic methods or tools are presented, all of which can be adapted for many possible applications. Most basic is the IA Matrix, generally used to break down a project into its components and identify possible impacts of each. Other generic methods include flowcharts, checklists, mapping, decision trees, scenarios, consultations, forecasting with simulations, and trend analysis. Logic and TOC models have been explained in the previous chapter. Additional methods are discussed in the ensuing chapters, more pertinent to social, cultural, ecological, built-environment or economic impacts.
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