制裁,真实与想象:乌克兰危机中俄罗斯的经验

J. Caytas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文指出了在制裁武器库中创造性组合的尚未开发的潜力,但也存在巨大的长期风险,这些风险可能会破坏全球金融和贸易基础设施,而正是这些基础设施使西方的制裁权力发挥作用。它介绍了针对俄罗斯的多方制裁以及俄罗斯对此的回应,分析了三个不同寻常的方面是如何帮助制裁的:SWIFT封锁的潜在损害、2014年后油价下跌的破坏性影响,以及使用债务制裁的考虑。然后,它审查了俄罗斯和其他国家采取的旨在破坏未来西方制裁有效性的防御措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sanctions, Real and Imaginary: Experiences with Russia in the Ukraine Crisis
This article identifies untapped potential for creative combinations within the sanctions arsenal, but also substantial long-term risks threatening to undermine the very global financial and trading infrastructure that renders Western sanctioning power effective in the first place. It introduces multi-party sanctions against Russia and the Russian response thereto, analysing how sanctions were aided by three unusual prongs: the damage potential of a SWIFT blockade, the devastating effect of the post-2014 oil price drop, and the consideration of using debt sanctions. It then examines defensive measures taken by Russia and others that aim at undermining the effectiveness of future Western sanctions.
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